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emilf
22 Dec 2013 21:09

C/2013 A1
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Din nou presa cu scenariile:
http://www.realitatea.net/avertisment-sumbru-cataclismul-cosmic-ce-ar-putea-avea-loc-in-curand-la-doi-pasi-de-terra_1121959.html
http://ro.wikipedia.org/wiki/C/2013_A1

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nobody
22 Dec 2013 21:49


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Adica: C/2013 A1 este o cometă hiperbolică și se mișcă pe o orbită retrogradată  :lol:

Pe de alta parte:
Using the older observation arc of 148 days, a Monte-Carlo method showed roughly a 1 in 1,250 chance (0.08%) of a Mars impact.
As of March 2013, the estimated chance of impact was about 1 in 2000.
As of April 2013, the odds of a Mars impact were about 1 in 8000.
The 8 April 2013 JPL 3-sigma solution was the first solution to show that the minimum approach by the comet would miss Mars. As of 8 April 2013, the odds of impact were only 1 in 120,000
...
With an observation arc of 428 days, the nominal pass is 0.00096 AU (144,000 km; 89,000 mi) from the center-point of Mars and the uncertainty region shows the comet will not come closer than 0.00086 AU (129,000 km; 80,000 mi).
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/C/2013_A1
